Taiwan
US-China Tensions Persist Despite Biden-Xi Call
Pamir observes that US and Chinese official readouts indicate that fundamental disagreements on priority issues – Taiwan, the South China Sea, trade, and technology –continue to strain the relationship. US-China relations are likely to remain turbulent for the rest of 2024.
US Congress Affirms Security Support for Taiwan
Pamir assesses that China's immediate reactions to US Congressional support for Taiwan, the latest US arms sales package, and an ongoing US-Japan military exercise directed against a potential “China threat” suggest greater concern for growing US-Taiwan security cooperation than with what has become routine US-Japan military coordination.
China Risks Drive Taiwan’s Declining Investments
Once a mainstay of Taiwan investment, China has become increasingly unattractive to small- and medium-sized businesses that now seek to pull out completely within five years and invest elsewhere.
Incoming Taiwan president amplifies support for semiconductor industry
President-elect LAI Ching-te (William Lai) of Taiwan’s Democratic Progressive Party has won the much-anticipated Taiwan elections and appears poised to continue the pro-Western policies of his predecessor.
China’s Demand for ASML Semiconductor Equipment Grows
China’s goal of becoming more self-reliant in semiconductor production has manifested as imports of foreign-made manufacturing equipment are rising, while purchases of foreign chips have dropped.
Taiwan’s Diplomatic Allies Dwindling
Seve Paeniu, Tuvalu’s top contender for its prime minister position, has called for the new government to consider the country’s economic interests and debate the issue of whether to have diplomatic relations with Taiwan or China, according to international media reporting.
US Congress Supports New Taiwan Administration
On 24 January a bipartisan congressional delegation led by Congressional Taiwan Caucus co-chairs Representatives Mario Diaz Balart and Ami Bera arrived in Taiwan for a three-day visit.
US Strengthens Military Ties With Taiwan
In December 2023, the Biden administration approved its 12th arms sale to Taiwan. President Joe Biden signed measures into law calling for strengthened US military ties with Taiwan.
Taiwan’s Economic Decoupling From China Gains Traction
Taiwan’s policy of economic decoupling from China has resulted in the weakening of Taiwan’s economic ties to China, even though China remains Taiwan’s largest export destination and source of imports.
Pamir's John W. Tai interview with Channel News Asia
John W. Tai - senior advisor at Pamir Consulting and adjunct professor, Elliott School of International Affairs, George Washington University - was recently interviewed by Channel News Asia about issues on relations with US and China and the Taiwan Presidential Elections.
Pamir Strategic Insights Issue 4: US reaction to Taiwan's Presidential Election
Washington’s measured response to the results of Taiwan’s presidential election reaffirms US efforts to uphold the status quo vis-à-vis China and Taiwan.
Pamir Strategic Insights Issue 3: China condemns Taiwan's Presidential Election results
Beijing’s disinformation campaigns combined with economic and military pressure failed to influence the outcome of Taiwan’s presidential election in favor of the opposition Kuomintang (KMT) party.
Pamir Strategic Insights Issue 2: Taiwan President-elect's victory formula
Taiwan Vice President William Lai’s (LAI Ching-te) election victory on 13 January marked the first time since Taiwan started direct presidential elections in 1996 that a party will hold the presidency over three consecutive terms.
2024 Taiwan Presidential and Legislative Elections Outlook
Taiwan’s presidential and legislative elections scheduled to take place this coming Saturday are the first set of elections in what will be a “year of elections.”
Taiwan’s economy with risk exposure in China and cross-Strait tensions are causing concern for Western companies
Cross-Strait tensions, and the 2024 Taiwan presidential elections, are prompting some Western organizations and investors to diversify away from both Taiwan and China in order to minimize risk exposure to the mainland.
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